Zhang Yuancong: gold and silver as potential has not yet again callback to do more upstream clients view the latest market festival to celebrate when bursts of sound, everywhere. When the Chinese New Year is going on like a raging fire, the gold and silver industry does not fall. Two golden weeks slowly rose on Thursday as the sky is the impact of successful in the official career. 7% times a week, up to 1263, a new high of 12 months. The global stock market index dropping 95, Starving people fill the land., still short. When gold rose, silver was unwilling to fall, and then rose, rising nearly 200 points. The Spring Festival this year seems to be the price of gold and silver, hit the ground running. In the past few years, the market explosion bloodbath a lot of investors, because the price of gold in the peak when people are still doing the spring dream $2000 ounce ", but the price is getting low; when a lot of person when the bottom of the weekly, but gold is still a continued decline. In 2011, the consensus among investors was that gold would rise to $2000 an ounce. In 2015, the market almost unanimously agreed that gold would fall below $1000 ounce, but it turned out that universal consensus was often a misunderstanding". And historical evidence has shown that the technical signals released by some model tools that successfully predict the market are more reliable than the consensus of the market. Dudley, chairman of the New York fed, said on Friday that the current easing of monetary policy in the United States is appropriate because of the current surplus of idle labor and low inflation. Inflation risk is unlikely to threaten US economic expansion, while external shocks are the major threat to future economic expansion, and there is no need to discuss negative interest rates at the moment. Dudley pointed out that the Fed policy depends on data, but also associated with the financial market conditions. The financial situation has been shrinking in recent weeks, and the stock market has fallen significantly. Financial market conditions will be included in the Fed’s policy considerations. Chinese during the Spring Festival holiday, the developed countries stock market fell thrilling, which further shows release during the crisis a lot of liquidity after the Fed raised interest rates for the first time, to withdraw from the market, the stock market began to rely on a large number of funds to support the loss of blood, while Europe and Japan also quantitative easing and negative interest rates, but the policy effect is not obviously, inflation is still low, weak economic growth, the stock market shows that the market is not optimistic about the economic outlook, more direct response is market filled with panic and anxiety, risk aversion has increased, gold prices rose sharply ahead of oil and commodities such as copper, in the short term this situation will continue, until the market of the Fed’s next interest rate hike became clear judgment. Technical analysis: Gold: Weekly recorded a video of sun, highlighting the increasing upward pressure, but the strong pattern has not changed, but this morning the market directly under the broken MA135 average support so long the price at the same time some be caught off guard, from the short-term moving average, further covering demand. Daily, on Friday fell after exacerbated today fall risk, while the daily short period Sicha expanded downward, stochastic overbought line, also cannot go bullish in the transition. 4 hours, the price hit the upward track resistance after falling, and to the average and short cycle indicators, the market at the beginning of this week, such as.

张沅聪:金银潜力尚未出尽 回调做多再战上游 客户端 查看最新行情   佳节来时阵阵响,道喜喝彩处处闻。中国春节正在如火如荼的进行时,金银业毫不落下。黄金两周内缓缓升起,上周四飞黄腾达,可谓是冲击云霄。一周时间大涨7%最高至1263,刷新12个月的新高。全球股市哀鸿遍野,美指下探95,空头依旧。黄金上扬时,白银不甘落下,随之亦涨,涨近200点。今年春节似乎是助涨金银,旗开得胜。   在过去几年中,市场行情爆仓血洗了很多投资者,因为在金价见顶的时候仍有人做着“2000美元 盎司”的春秋大梦,但金价却是越走越低;当很多人称周线见底的时候,金价却仍一次次再续跌势。   在2011年时投资者们脑中的普遍共识是金价会涨至2000美元 盎司。在2015年,市场几乎同样一致认定金价会跌破1000美元 盎司,但事实证明,普遍共识往往是一个“误会”。而历史行情证明,一些成功预测到行情的模型工具释放的技术面信号,比市场共识更为靠谱。   纽约联储主席杜德利上周五表示,鉴于当前过剩闲置劳动力和低通胀,美国当前货币政策的宽松程度合适。通胀风险不太可能威胁美国经济扩张,而外部冲击是未来经济扩张的主要威胁因素,目前根本无需讨论负利率。杜德利指出,美联储政策取决于数据,但也与金融市场状况关联。近来几周金融状况有所紧缩;股市显著下跌。金融市场状况将纳入美联储的政策考量。   在中国春节放假期间,欧美日发达国家股市下跌惊心动魄,这进一步显示在危机期间释放的大量流动性在美联储首次加息之后,开始从市场上撤退,依靠大量资金支撑的股市开始失血,尽管欧洲和日本还在量化宽松和负利率状态,但政策效果不明显,通胀依然很低,经济增长乏力,股市大跌充分说明了市场对经济前景不乐观,更直接的反应就是市场弥漫恐慌和不安,避险情绪一再上升,金银价格上涨大幅领先于石油和铜等大宗商品,短期内这种情况还要持续,直到市场对美联储下一次加息的判断趋于明朗。   技术面分析:   黄金:周线录得一根上影线大阳,彰显出上行压力的增大,但强势的格局未变,但今早间市场直接下破MA135均线支撑让多头有些猝不及防,同时价格远离短期均线,有进一步回补需求。日线上,上周五收跌后加剧了今日回落风险,同时日线短周期指标死叉展开下行,随机指标超买严重,日线同样不能在过渡去看涨。4小时上,价格触及上行轨道阻力后即回落,而以均线以及短周期指标来看,本周初市场如若不能续涨,那么回落轨道支撑是极有可能的,因此目前的操作较为被动。今日早间回落看到空头力度偏强,没能抓住空头也不急于去追,毕竟涨势健在,操作上等待逢低做多机会。   白银:周线录得一根上影线大阳,今早间的回落幅度过大,亚欧盘续涨基本是不可能,目前价格已跌破短期均线支撑,强弱指标下行拐头展开放量,可以看到空头力量的强劲,日线回落迹象明显。4小时上同样是触及上行轨道阻力后展开下行,但今早间盘中便已经跌破下轨支撑,因此不能急于去抢多,而要等待有力支撑后再介入。   原油:周线录得长下影的小小阴柱,显示下行乏力,但整体还是处于弱势格局中,上方有来自短期均线的压制,MACD死叉延续扩展,有望再度回落触及布林下轨。日线上收尾反弹拉升,目前上方面临均线压制,随机指标初步金叉有待放量,但日线不看好反弹的空间能有多少。当下原油面临诸多不确定性,稳健期间建议观望,激进的朋友也可顺势等待高空。   黄金策略:   1:上方1228做空,止损1233,目标1213一线   2:下方1213做多,止损1210,目标1228一线   白银策略:   1:上方3230做空,止损3270,目标3140一线   2:下方3140做多,止损3100,目标3230一线   原油策略:   1:上方2850做空,止损2890,目标2720一线   【今日重点关注的财经数据与事件】2016年2月15日周一   (美国因总统日休市一日)   ①18:00欧元区12月季调后贸易帐   ②22:00欧洲央行[微博]行长德拉基在欧洲议会发表讲话 新浪声明:新浪网登载此文出于传递更多信息之目的,并不意味着赞同其观点或证实其描述。文章内容仅供参考,不构成投资建议。投资者据此操作,风险自担。相关的主题文章: